The Awards Circuit section at Variety keeps you informed about the latest news in the awards season all year round. It features official predictions for major ceremonies including the Oscars, Emmys, Grammys, and Tony Awards, all curated by Clayton Davis, the senior awards editor. These prediction pages give insights into the current standings of various contenders, and they’re updated weekly every Thursday. However, it’s important to note that these predictions are not influenced by personal opinions.
Make sure to check out the predictions for different awards, such as the Oscars, Emmys, Grammys, and Tonys.
Latest Updates on the Oscars (Updated February 18, 2025)
Final voting for the Oscars ends today at 5 PM PT, with many industry insiders making last-minute adjustments to their ballots. Veteran analysts are using results from the Directors Guild (DGA), Producers Guild (PGA), and BAFTA awards as reference points in what has been a rather unpredictable awards season.
One surprising turn came at the BAFTAs, where Edward Berger’s film "Conclave" captured several honors including Best Film, significantly raising its profile against the expected frontrunner "Anora." If "Conclave" can secure a victory at the SAG awards, it may force a dramatic reshuffling of the predicted outcomes.
Despite this upstart’s success, "Anora" remains a powerhouse in the race, having won numerous awards including the DGA, PGA, Critics Choice, and WGA. Historically, films achieving such a feat have only stumbled once at the Oscars—"Brokeback Mountain" being the notable exception.
The BAFTAs also brought a stunning victory for Mikey Madison, who claimed the leading actress award over Demi Moore in a hotly contested category, underlining that surprises can happen until the very end.
In other acting categories, frontrunners like Adrien Brody, Kieran Culkin, and Zoe Saldaña have established themselves after dominating various award shows. Winning the SAG might solidify their chances, particularly as history shows that very few actors win the Oscar after sweeping all three major televised awards.
With the excitement of the SAG nominations, films like "Wicked" or "A Complete Unknown" might capitalize on their momentum. In previous years, at least one of the two films with the most SAG nominations has walked away with an award.
Expect the road to the Oscars this year to have its twists and turns, and stay tuned for updated predictions as the ceremony approaches. The 97th Academy Awards are set for Sunday, March 2.
Notable Prediction Categories
- Best Picture
- Best Director
- Best Actor
- Best Actress
- Additional categories include Best Supporting Actor, Best Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay, Adapted Screenplay, and many more.
For a comprehensive list of nominees and predictions for various awards, check Variety’s dedicated pages for each category.
Feel free to explore the Awards Circuit for up-to-the-minute updates on predictions, news, and in-depth features surrounding the entertainment industry’s awards season.
